Playing the Indian Card

Showing posts with label Conservative Party of Canada. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Conservative Party of Canada. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 17, 2026

No Left Turn

 



Rupert Lowe’s new Restore Britain Party may be bad news for the right in British politics—splitting the vote just when Reform looked poised to replace Labour in the next election. That would be the conventional assumption. But the enthusiastic response to his announcement shows how rapidly the pendulum is swinging. Farage suddenly looks moderate and mainstream. A large part of the electorate is tired of more of the same old same old and is craving real change. They feel betrayed after Brexit. They have trust issues.

We are in a revolutionary period; and the revolution devours its children.

I suspect the same dynamic lost the last Canadian election for Pierre Poilievre. Once Trump was elected to the south, Poilievre no longer seemed so transgressive. He needed to up the ante. Instead, he followed the convention of moving to the centre. That does not work in a revolutionary period. He echoed the Liberals on the Trump file, the dominant issue of the campaign. If he’s going to be just another Liberal, why not vote for the real Liberals? Why switch horses? After all, the existing cabinet have more experience, and Carney’s resume is stronger than Poilievre’s.

Trump is now the pace-setter. The key to success now on the right is to sound at least as transgressive of the established mainstream narratives as Trump. Lowe has seen that.

Poilievre no doubt fears being branded as “Maple MAGA,” given Trump’s unpopularity north of the 49th. But he will be branded this way by the Liberals and the legacy media no matter what. The only possible strategy is to embrace it. You cannot win an election being defensive. He should take a leaf from Trump’s playbook when accused of being too close to Putin. Why is it a bad thing to be able to get along with the enemy? He should play up Jamil Jivani’s friendship with JD Vance, and promise “sunny ways” to get a better deal with the Americans. 


Tuesday, June 07, 2022

The Conservative Groundswell

 




The Pierre Poilievre campaign claims they have signed up over 300,000 new members to the Conservative Party through their website. The Patrick Brown campaign claims 150,000 more. The Poilievre figure alone more than doubles the number of members of the Conservative Party--without yet taking into account those signed up by the other campaigns, or who signed up directly, as I did, at the CPC website to participate in their leadership race.

Something important is happening in Canadian politics.

Rather than being impressed or acknowledging the historic nature of this groundswell, a panel of politicos hosted by the CBC warned that Pierre Poilievre was "playing with fire,” appealing to people who would not go along with a move to the centre for the next federal election.

Assuming Poilievre had to move to the centre for the general election.

No concern that it was dishonest to run on one platform for the leadership, and switch up for the general election. No concern that this large number of committed people supporting Poilievre deserved to be represented. The general public was, to these politicians, cattle, to be deceived and controlled. And this was spoken openly, and not hidden.

To be fair, you might argue that they are only being realistic; that to get the most votes, you need to straddle the ideological middle. However, this assumption, although it seems logical, is not borne out by the facts. Mike Harris in Ontario, Rob Ford in Toronto, Ralph Klein in Alberta, Francois Legault in Quebec, all proved highly successful in elections while maintaining a hard right position, at least rhetorically. Ronald Reagan, Margaret Thatcher, Stephen Harper, Donald Trump all were successful with a hard right stance. Erin O’Toole, Mitt Romney, John McCain all fell short lunging for the centre. 

It is a losing proposition for an opposition party to try to take the centre ground. What is considered the centre ground is largely defined by the party in power. If the electorate likes their policies, they are going to stick with the government. If they do not like their policies, they are still not going to see any reason to vote in a new party that promises the same policies

This is equally true for the left or the right. In the recent Ontario election, the Liberals and NDP agreed with the ruling Tories on everything. Result: win for the Tories. In 2015, Tom Mulcair’s NDP made a lunge for power by moving to the centre. Result: win for the Liberals, who ran uncharacteristically further to the left.

I assume political operatives know their business. They realize then that the idea that the Tories must move to the centre is electoral bunk. Rather, they are demanding it as an obligation to fellow members of the ruling class that everyone take the approved stand on all the issues, and not allow the common hoi polloi a say.

This is what “the centre” really means. It really means “the party line.” Only in such a situation can at leasthalf the electorate be declared “far right,” and "populism" be called "far right." That necessarily implies that “the centre” is actually well to the left on the spectrum of actual popular opinion.


Sunday, February 06, 2022

The Early Odds for the Conservative Leadership

 



It is rather odd that Pierre Poilievre has announced for the Tory leadership when he did, on a Saturday, a day when people are liable to miss the news, and when other big news stories are competing for attention. He is also announcing before the date or the rules for the contest have even been set.

The announcement must have been preemptive. His people must have feared someone else might beat him to it and soak up some of his potential support. Who?

Leslyn Lewis, perhaps. But here’s another possibility: Jordan Peterson. Peterson has not dismissed political ambitions. He might or might not have been about to actually declare, but his hints of interest might have started a “draft Peterson” movement.

Peterson might be the only other candidate who stands a chance against Poilievre. Poilievre is a star in question period, and a star in social media. He is fluently bilingual. He is from Ontario, but his rightist politics are in sync with the West. He has cabinet experience. He is eloquent, and has great political instincts.

 It is hard to see who else can go up against him. John Baird has been floated; but Baird just endorsed Poilievre. Brad Wall is not bilingual, and probably not interested. Peter MacKay is still paying off debts from last time.

In theory, given that Poilievre is on the party’s right, there ought to be room for a candidate on the left. But such a candidate probably has no chance of winning. Last time out, Peter MacKay failed to win for the left wing, despite having a far higher profile and far more experience than the three right-wing candidates. This time, the rules have changed to favour the right: from one hundred votes per constituency, the party is going to one member, one vote. That means suddenly most votes are coming from Alberta and the West.

Someone has to run, just to show the flag, to show the party’s diversity, to make it a contest. And as they say, “a week is a long time in politics.” Certainly there are other names being floated. Anything can happen.

But the early line has to be overwhelmingly Poilievre.


Wednesday, February 02, 2022

Erin, We Hardly Knew Ye

 



Erin O’Toole is out as Conservative leader. Watching the CBC speaking about the event, one would think the Conservatives were in disarray, in danger of splitting, losing their direction and losing the voters. 

I don’t buy that spin. It is just media partisanship. I think this vote was how parliamentary democracy is supposed to work. Kudos to Michael Chen, who designed this system and got it passed into law. Kudos to the Conservatives, who have now proven themselves Canada’s most responsive and democratic party.

The general public do not elect the Prime Minister. We vote for our local member. The Prime Minister is then whoever has the support of most of these members. Democracy demands that the Prime Minister serves at the pleasure of his members; not vice versa.

This system has been perverted in Canada by the legal requirement, introduced by the Liberals, that the party leader sign the nomination papers for local candidates. This gave the leader power to choose his own electorate, reversing the equation, and to punish or cashier anyone who did not do as he willed. The result has been an elected dictatorship. Debates and votes in parliament have become irrelevant to the nation’s business. Question period has become no more than rhetoric, a battle for the best sound bites.

Chen’s reform bill restored that balance. The Conservative Party embraced it, and deserves credit. O’Toole got voted out in part at least because he was being authoritarian with his own caucus.

Chen’s reform/restoration gives the Canadian or British system a significant advantage over the American system. A failing or disastrous or corrupt leader can be removed within days, if not hours, without tying up t6he nation’s business, without bitter recriminations, without requiring any particular reason or finding of fault. As Theresa May was; as Neville Chamberlain was. O’Toole was able to leave with dignity. The US, currently saddled with a declining Joe Biden in the midst of crisis, should envy us.

Nor is the Conservative Party divided by this. To the contrary, the vote was quick and decisive, so that it should be easy to come together now under a new leader. Had they been obliged to continue under O’Toole, divisions might have festered.


Tuesday, August 25, 2020

O'Toole for the Win




Erin O’Toole is the new leader of the Canadian Conservative Party.

Not a stunningly good choice; but then, neither was Stephen Harper in his day. I think O’Toole was the best choice in the available field. The larger issue is that the contest looked rigged from the beginning to be a coronation for Peter MacKay. Other prominent candidates backed off from a run, as if either bribed or threatened. It looked as though O’Toole was allowed to run only for the semblance of a race; a mid-tier candidate, not thought to be a serious challenger, just plausible enough. Like the Washington Generals. So it looks like a deserved kick back against the party corruption to have given him the win. And against the contest’s organizers, and against the other candidates who backed out of the race.

O’Toole was the grassroots’ way to resist the party elite.

And even if he was not top-tier, O’Toole was a better pick than MacKay; and a better pick than the other two, inexperienced candidates. MacKay has no principles; he won the old PC leadership by cutting a backroom deal, then double-crossing his benefactor within two months. He also seemed to knife Andrew Scheer in the back; somebody showed up at a Scheer event during the last election campaign with a MacKay sign. That did not feel like a voice from the crowd; MacKay had been out of politics for a while, and nobody was hankering for him to come back. It looked like a paid political stunt. And an act of disloyalty during a campaign.

After the election, MacKay sank Scheer in a press interview by saying he had “failed to score on an open net” and that his views on gay marriage and abortion “hung around his neck like a stinking albatross.” Those images are too vivid not to have been carefully scripted; and not by MacKay himself, who does not have any way with words. It looked like calculated political assassination. And not over any disagreement on policy; it looked like pure personal ambition.

Such behavior, and such politicians, ought not to be rewarded with office.

Had MacKay won, party unity would also have been hard to achieve. Scheer loyalists would have reason to hate him; and so would social conservatives, whose views he had described as “stinking.” The entire right wing of the party might rightly be alienated, as he ran as an unabashed “Red Tory.” Quebec would have been disaffected, given his lack of interest in learning French.

I can at least imagine O’Toole as prime minister; I could never imagine Scheer in the role. And the thought of MacKay in the office was disturbing. O’Toole at least has the mein of a fighter, and a military background that suits that persona. If he’s no Trump, perhaps he’s not a low card either.

Friday, January 31, 2020

Gay Pride and the CPC






Saw a disturbing CBC “Power and Politics” panel on the issue of Tory leadership candidates marching in gay parades. Four panelists; with only Stockwell Day to speak for the Tories. The position one panelist kept repeating, to apparent general agreement, is that this was obligatory or else the politicians were declaring themselves “homophobic.” A more or less direct quote: “it is not enough to show tolerance. You must show that you support and celebrate Gay Pride.”

An odd standard, as Day observed, to apply in other circumstances. Do we really consider politicians who do not regularly attend Yom Kippur celebrations anti-Semitic? Are we now going to?

This new conflation of tolerance with approval is alarming in many ways. If tolerance has no value, and only celebration and support counts, we will only tolerate what we celebrate. This is the most extreme form of intolerance. All views with which you disagree would be silenced.

In the present case, what is not being tolerated is Christians, Jews, Muslims, Buddhists, religion, or ethical codes in general—a lot of targets. Celebration, as opposed to tolerance, of “gay pride” is intolerance of all these groups.

Essentially all religious and moral traditions teach that homosexual acts are sinful; but that is even beside the point. All teach that pride and lust are sinful. “Gay Pride” parades are celebrations of pride and lust, at least as explicitly as they are celebrations of homosexual attraction.

Any believing member of any of these religions, or of any other established moral code, cannot in good conscience march in a gay pride parade. Requiring this is excluding them from public life.

It is, perhaps more alarmingly, excluding anyone who sincerely follows any established morality from public life. This is a guarantee of the worst government available.

In sadly only too related news, we see a general furor over obscure leadership candidate Richard Decarie, and demands, including by prominent Conservatives, that he be barred from the race. Because he stated publicly that being gay is a choice.



He said some other things, as well, all perfectly unobjectionable, but this is the one the headlines have fixed upon.

Yet “being gay” self-evidently is a choice, in the most basic sense. While I may and may not have a choice concerning who sexually attracts me, I obviously have a choice as to whether or not to have sex with them. Otherwise, there could be no objection to rape.

Being “gay” is obviously a choice in another sense as well. If not, why do gays themselves speak of a “gay lifestyle”? There is an element of choice in being “gay,” in the minds of “gays” themselves. “Gay” does not equate to “being attracted to members of the same sex.”

As to whether one chooses to be attracted to those of the same sex—that too is unclear. We do not know, and it is deceitful to insist that we do. As recently discussed in this space, the traditional view, right up to Freud, is that we can control and are therefore fully responsible for our lusts.

We live in an increasingly intolerant age.

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Pardon My French





We have a problem.

The Quebec press is already making noise about Peter MacKay’s weak French. It is immediately a big issue in Quebec. He has been in public life forever, they say. Why has he never made the effort to learn French?

He took no questions after his kickoff announcement. Perhaps to avoid any questions in French. He cannot do that for long.

This seems to me a fatal flaw. Never mind losing any competitiveness in Quebec. It matters almost as much in Ontario, because Ontario considers itself profoundly vested in preserving Canadian unity.

At this point, MacKay’s only credible opponent is Erin O’Toole. Erin O’Toole’s French is apparently not much better.

So it is not just that the Tories are going to end up with a unilingual leader; there will not even be a prominent candidate who speaks good French. At best, Quebec is likely to tune out. At worst, it begins to look as though they don’t think about Quebec, have no sense of Quebec. Quebec tends to nurse grievances over this sort of thing that can last for many years.

What an epic disaster it turns out to have been that the Conservatives did not choose Max Bernier last time. He was their most prominent Quebec politician. At the time, he was running on a libertarian platform, economic conservatism with social liberalism, which might have overcome the current party divisions.

Sorry to repeat myself, but the best hope for the Conservatives now is the second coming of Stephen Harper.

Failing that, the best hope for small-c conservatives may be Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party. He has more natural support in Quebec, being both bilingual and a native son, and to top that, as a libertarian Tory, he has more natural support in the West than MacKay as well.

The official Tories may soon be reduced to what they were the last time MacKay was leader.


Saturday, August 25, 2018

Max's Chances



The big guns have quickly lined up behind Andrew Scheer and ranged against Maxime Bernier: Stephen Harper, Jason Kenney, Michelle Rempel.

The commentators too are all saying Bernier doesn't have a point. Andrew Coyne says there is no pressing issue here to unite people behind some new alternative.

My gut says they are wrong. In the comments on the Internet I see a lot of people saying they are fed up with Scheer's nice guy approach and want to back Bernier. I think this is plausible: it is like what happened with Trump in the US. The elites were whistling with their hands in their pockets, sure there was nothing going on and they were in full control, but they were not listening to the folks. Who were really fed up with just this attitude. I think there is a good chance Bernier can tap in to something similar in Canada.

No pressing issue? Isn't NAFTA and its consequences for the Canadian economy important? If it does not look so now, imagine how things may look after a few months or years of a trade war with the US. And immigration and integration? That was a key issue for Reform thirty years ago. Since then, the annual flow of immigration has never abated; it has grown by about 50%. If it was a popular concern then, it is a bigger popular concern now. As it has proven to be in the US and Europe.

It is predictable that Harper, Kenney, or Rempel would rush to back Scheer. The best hope for the Conservatives and the right in general is that this Bernier initiative goes nowhere; they are doing what they can to make that happen.

The big question is whether Bernier can find funding. And some prominent Western backer.


Friday, August 24, 2018

Beyond Thunderdome



Maxime Bernier.

Mad Max has hit the highway. 

Can't say I blame him. The Trump trade dispute has brought his signature issue, supply management, to the fore, and his party was taking the stand opposed to his own. What is he supposed to do, and preserve his integrity?

This is great news for Justin Trudeau. A divided right could preserve him in power indefinitely, as it did Jean Chretien.

This is a disaster for Andrew Scheer. Rumours are that he got the leadership through the support of the milk and egg cartels, who were desperate to stop Bernier. And he was not prepared to do a Peter McKay and double-cross them. But for the sake of this understandable refusal to betray his original supporters, he threw away a perfect issue for the Conservatives in supply management, and caused a split in the party. I think he also served the voters and the interests of Canada poorly, by avoiding a vital debate and leaving them no choice.

My guess is that if Bernier has enough time to organize before the next election, he should crush Scheer. Quebec is tribal; anyone with right-wing sensibilities, outside the milk producers themselves, are going to vote for Bernier, not Scheer. And the right is resurgent in Quebec, with fears over immigration and with the rise of the Coalition Avenir Quebec. At the same time, Bernier will appeal to the strong libertarian streak in the West. On paper, he could combine the support of both the old Reform Party and the old Bloc Quebecois.

It seems to me there is also a decent chance that Doug Ford, newly elected in Ontario, will throw his support behind Bernier rather than Scheer. It would be awkward for him not to; Bernier is his ideological counterpart, and similar in tone.

Bernier could end up leading the official opposition, and Scheer could turn into another Joe Clark heading up a Red Tory rump, but in less time.

If I were a backroom type within the Conservative Party, you know what I'd be pushing for? A deal to get Bernier to dissolve his new party in return for Scheer resigning, Stephen Harper stepping back in as interim leader, to lead the party into the next election, with the promise that he would step down for another leadership race within a set period after that, and with a commitment that the party would henceforth oppose supply management.


Saturday, January 06, 2018

Beyak Ejected from Conservative Caucus





Senator Lynn Beyak, the Ontario Senator who was thrown off the Senate aboriginal affairs committee last year for saying residential schools were not all bad, has now been tossed out of the Conservative caucus. Her offense this time was posting comments in her support that were, according to CPC leader Andrew Scheer, and a lot of other people, racist.

Scheer quotes one such comment, presumably the critical one leading to his decision:

"I'm no anthropologist but it seems every opportunistic culture, subsistence hunter/gatherers seeks to get what they can for no effort. There is always a clash between industrial/organized farming culture that values effort as opposed to a culture that will sit and wait until the government gives them stuff.”

Scheer says:

"Promoting this comment is offensive and unacceptable for a Conservative Parliamentarian. To suggest that indigenous Canadians are lazy compared to other Canadians, is simply racist. I demanded Senator Beyak remove this content from her website. She refused. As a result of her actions, the Conservative Senate Leader Larry Smith and I have removed Senator Lynn Beyak from the Conservative National Caucus.

Racism will not be tolerated in the Conservative Caucus or Conservative Party of Canada."
I can understand why Scheer might have felt he had to remove Beyak from caucus. Indians vote, and are entirely likely to feel insulted. Not to mention the widespread popular support they command. True or not, saying this was not good politics.

Moreover, it is not true. The commentator is wrong on the facts. Obviously, sitting back and relying on government cannot be an aspect of traditional hunter-gatherer culture—there is no government, in traditional hunter-gatherer culture. It is more or less every man, or every family, for himself; the very opposite of this.

But the more troubling thing is that Scheer calls this “racist.” That is profoundly irresponsible of him. This is a dangerous mischaracterization, and it shows why we have every reason to worry about the effects of the recent M-103 and proliferating similar measures. Too many any longer seem unable to understand the difference between race and culture. The author of the comment was criticizing Indian culture, not Indians as a race or as individuals. He even makes this clearer by adding, in the same comment,

“I'm not saying all of them are like that but right now the Canadian society guilt trip route to more money and power is golden and being opportunist they're grabbing all the hotel room towels and silver ware they can.”

Not all Indians, then, and it is due to the circumstance they are in—the culture.

If we cannot criticize culture, in the end, we cannot even object to racism. Some cultures are racist. We also cannot object to female genital mutilation, slavery, the beheading of unbelievers, wife beating, the immolation of widows, child sacrifice, or genocide. All are or have been established cultural practices somewhere. Some of them, indeed, among traditional Canadian “First Nations” groups.

Even more disturbing, Global TV editorializes, in its story on the matter,

“Global News reviewed the 103 ‘letters,’ some dated as recently as Oct. 4, 2017, and found that the majority — which do not include full names of the writers— contained what could be described as racist or anti-Indigenous sentiments.”

What you see quoted by Scheer above is in fact, as you would expect, the worst of the lot. I went to Beyak’s web page and read a large chunk of them myself. You can too. Almost all are simply expressing their agreement that the residential schools, while they certainly had failings, were not all bad. That is the real gist of the majority of the letters. To say this is now apparently “racist and anti-indigenous.”

Global quotes a few of the comments. We must presume they consider these the most racist of the lot:

“Do not back down, the Indians, First Nations or whatever they want to be called have milked this issue to their decided advantage,” 
“This mood will only grow with Justin Trudeau running around doing selfies with minority groups,” 
“The handouts have taken their people nowhere, and their constant backward-looking mentality serves no useful purpose. Aboriginals seem to be well schooled in getting media pity and they have become very good at getting media coverage.” 
“To expect the Canadian government to continue to subsidize a culture which is often damaging to new generations of Indigenous youth, is just bizarre.”

These are surely simply reasonable disagreements among taxpayers regarding the disposition of public funds. In a democracy, it is necessary to be able to have such discussions. To tar any such comments as “racism” is simply a way to avoid addressing the argument. After all, the last two clearly express sympathy for aboriginals.

Charlie Angus has demanded that, for hosting such thought, Beyak should be thrown out of the Senate. “These are not letters from constituents or an open dialogue on ideas," he writes. "These letters are promoting an insidious negation of the lives, culture, rights and place of Indigenous people living in Canada."

Typically of one who is about to tell a terrible howler, he begins by denying they are what they obviously are: letters from constituents, and an open dialogue on ideas. This is insidious Orwellian newspeak: war is peace, freedom is slavery, and race hate, discrimination, and apartheid is “reconciliation.”

Saskatchewan “independent” (i.e., formerly Liberal) Senator Lillian Dyck has called for Beyak to be prosecuted for a “hate crime.” "Maybe someone should consider laying a charge of hate speech against her because she is using her public website in a way against an identifiable group that might be considered inciting hatred."

This is fantastically dangerous: this is pretty much exactly why we need laws protecting free speech. Allow censorship of views relevant to the current public debate, and democratic government is no longer possible. The public can no longer make informed decisions. Such freedom of speech is especially necessary to parliamentarians; which is why not even libel laws apply in parliament.

We are sailing close to the rocks here.

Dyck complained to The Walrus that, if the same claims were made against, for example, the Jewish community, it “wouldn’t be tolerated.”

I’m not sure that is the issue. Isn’t the problem instead that if the same claims were made against the Jewish culture, it would sound absurd?

Let’s try:

"I'm no anthropologist but it seems Jewish culture seeks to get what they can for no effort. There is always a clash between culture that values effort as opposed to a culture that will sit and wait until the government gives them stuff.”

The thought is simply ludicrous. Jews sitting and waiting, doing nothing for themselves, expecting the government to give them things? Jews getting special favours from the government? Say it, and you do not sound racist: you sound unhinged.

I think Senator Dyck is demonstrating the opposite of what she thinks she is demonstrating.

It is hard to come up with an obvious parallel, since the original terms are so broad: industrial/settled farming culture, on the one side, and hunter-gatherer cultures, on the other. What is left outside the original parameters to compare them with?

But one rough recent parallel does occur: the crisis with the Greek economic insolvency and the Euro. Let’s try it, then:

"I'm no anthropologist but it seems Greek culture seeks to get what they can for no effort. There is a clash between German culture, which values effort, and a culture that will sit and wait until the government gives them stuff.”

Yep, that works. That was said, more or less, and there was no public uproar or charge of racism.

Similar things are said in Canada about the Maritimes. Stephen Harper once said something like this. It did not play well in the Maritimes, but nobody called him racist. And Pierre Trudeau once said it about the West, more or less: “Why should I sell your wheat?”

Sauce for the Canada goose is sauce for the Canada gander.








Thursday, June 01, 2017

Scheer as Tory Leader






I cannot tell a lie. I did not expect to be, but I was really disappointed when Andrew Scheer won the Tory leadership. For a time, I had to mourn Mad Max, even though Scheer had been my own second choice.

Bernier was the exciting candidate. I hope he does not go away.

But it may be that Scheer was the wiser choice. He does a better job of representing the Conservative party as a whole, all factions. That may be more important. He is a smart guy, a good speaker in the Commons, popular with MPs.

It is interesting to analyze the vote to figure out how strong each of the factions are within the party. It gives a good idea of what the new leader has to work with, and who needs to have a place at the table.

SoCons – 40%. This is roughly Scheer’s tenth ballot total. This is the point at which Brad Trost dropped out, leaving Scheer the only social conservative candidate. For the hard-core SoCon vote, see Trost’s final total: 14.3%. But some hard core SoCons may already have been with Scheer at this point, on winnability.



Libertarians - 30% This, I think, can be assumed from Bernier’s first ballot total. He was THE libertarian/classic liberal candidate in the race, and I can see no reason for a liberal to vote for anyone else.

Red Tories – 20%. O'Toole final ballot. At this point, I think Red Tories had nowhere else to go. For hard core Red Tories, 7.5% – Michael Chong first ballot results. This may well include some non-Tories who signed up to vote in the leadership, but who would never vote Conservative in an actual election. Grits just hedging their bets.

Populists – 10%. Kellie Leitch’s final vote total. These are the Trumpists. Evidently only a minor faction in the Canadian Conservative party.

One thing that really struck me was how dignified, polite, and friendly it all was, in comparison to recent politics in the US. This despite the fact that ideological differences were really quite strong.

Civil political discourse still holds among Canadian Conservatives. Andrew Scheer is an exceptionally good model of that.

And maybe that is what Canada most wants, and most needs, at this historical moment: a leader and a party that will preserve our best traditions of peace, order, general amity, politeness, and good government. We do not want to happen here what has been happening in the US.



Some are saying, as if it is a criticism, that Scheer is too much like Harper.

Recently, I was invited to participate in a poll on who had been the best prime minister of Canada ever.

Look at the candidates. Look at the record.

It is hard not to conclude that it was Harper.


Thursday, April 20, 2017

Canadian Conservative Leadership :Picks






My main problem with the current Canadian Conservative leadership race is that there are too many candidates whom I would like to see as leader. It is a shame that all but one must lose.

For what it is worth, which is very little, here are my picks, ranked as on the prescribed ballot:

Maxime Bernier – I especially like the courage of his position on supply-side management, coming as he does from rural Quebec. Trump’s recent complains about it in relation to NAFTA make Bernier’s position look even better. Bernier seems to be a likeable guy; and his bilingualism is important. His libertarianism should play well in Alberta and the West. His cabinet experience is heavyweight, preparing him for the job.

Andrew Scheer -- I am impressed by his recent demand that federal funding for universities be tied to their commitment to free speech on campus. We need something like this urgently. Scheer too seems likeable, and a witty speaker. He could be fun in the Commons. He is popular among colleagues, and would probably be a good choice for the sake of party unity. He is young; he would represent a new generation.

Erin O’Toole – Also likeable—I think likeability is the most valuable trait in a politician. Admirable military record. I like his support of the CANZUK concept.

Lisa Raitt—Hard not to love her for her intervention to rescue Elizabeth May from embarrassment. It is evidence that she is a decent person. She has the cabinet experience to qualify her for the job.

You may note that neither Kelly Leitch nor Kevin O'Leary are on my list. Both would be bad for party unity.
 



Friday, March 24, 2017

The Federal Tory Platform



Borden.


Kellie Leitch’s proposal for values testing of immigrants is clearly popular with the public—75% want it. I hope that, whoever wins the Tory leadership, they take it on. It’s not just a good idea. It is a vote-getter.

I hope they also take on Maxime Bernier’s plan to end “supply management.” It is a cruelty to the poor. Sure, it is a great deal for a few farmers. But it probably hurts more farmers than it helps. It also complicates any free trade negotiations with other countries. It ought to be a vote winner too: everyone will notice a drop in the price of eggs and milk. At no cost to government.

And I like Erin O’Toole’s support of free trade, free movement, and coordinated security among Canada, the UK, Australia and New Zealand. Nobody will likely care one way or the other in Quebec, but in the ROC, it ought to be attractive for lessening our unilateral dependence on the US. It will open up opportunities for Canadians, and attract desirable immigrants to Canada.

I also hope that whomever is chosen takes up Hugh Segal’s Guaranteed Minimum Income concept. Besides being a sensible idea, it would do a lot to counter left-wing claims that the Tories are only for “the rich.” And we must do something to respond to the current crisis of the North American working class. People are dying. Properly done, if we can count on it being properly done, it might not cost more than what we are doing now. Money now going to bureaucrats would simply go directly to the poor.

Last up, the Canadian Conservatives should embrace Trump’s idea that any new regulation must come with the elimination of two old ones. For one thing, it is a promise that would cost nothing in tax dollars. For another, of course, it would actually lessen the costs of government. For a third, it would encourage business formation, and so boost the economy. What could be better? Sliced bread?

There are lots more things that should be done, but these ideas seem to be out there now, and, together, look to me like a winning platform in the next election. And one that could unite all the strands of the party behind it: libertarians with the end of supply management and cutting regulations, Red Tories with the GAI proposal, traditionalists with CANZUK, Trump-types with the immigrant vetting.




Sunday, November 10, 2013

Reasons Canada is Not Ready for Self-Government #2: The Progressive Conservatives


Not a Conservative
In most democratic nations, since the French Revolution and all that, the people get an opportunity to vote for at least two clear alternatives: generally, a party of the left, and a party of the right.

In Canada, allowing the general population such troublesome choice has apparently always been seen as unnecessarily disruptive. It might lead to fisticuffs in the street, or something.

So, for the most part, there has been no conservative party.

Oh, sure, I know what you’re thinking. You’re thinking that John Diefenbaker, recently cited here, was the leader of the “Conservative Party.” And you’re wrong. He led the “Progressive Conservative Party.” The name was chosen when John Bracken took over leadership of the Conservatives in 1942. The idea was that the former Conservative Party was to become instead a home for people of all ideological persuasions, like Bracken’s provincial government in Manitoba, which combined the Conservative, CCF (Socialist), and Social Credit (don’t ask) parties.

Improbable? They held on to the conceit, and the name, until 2003. For 60 years, nobody in Canada got to vote for a Conservative Party.

Now, silly you, you will counter that Sir John A. Macdonald, our first Prime Minister and founder of our mighty nation, was in fact a Conservative, and led a longstanding Conservative regime.

Wrong again. You could look it up. Macdonald led the Liberal-Conservative Party. In the US, they have elephants and donkeys as mascots. In Canada, we have oxymorons, or pushmi-pullyus. What’s your choice? Either Conservative Liberal, or Liberal-Conservative. The Liberal-Conservatives only finally faded out during the First World War. That covers another 40 years’ worth of elections.

But, you will say, what’s that you just said about the First World War? When that happened, Borden was prime minister. Then he was a Conservative prime minister, right?


Not a Conservative.

Nope. Borden’s government was officially “Unionist,” not Conservative. It was supposed to be a union, yet again, of liberals and conservatives. It was “Unionists,” not “Conservatives,” who contested the Liberals for every election from then until 1925.

Finally, given the chance, in 1925, Canadians actually voted for an honest-to-God Conservative party. And they won the election. But they were not allowed to govern. Instead, Mackenzie King, turning out to be even better at obscuring his ideology, pulled together a coalition of Liberals and Progressives, and stayed on. Roughly the same thing happened in 1926: the Conservatives ran as Conservatives, won the popular vote, and were not able to form a government.

After an awkward period of success under R.B. Bennett, in 1940 the Conservatives decided again not to run as Conservatives, but as a “National Government,” a coalition of left and right.

They held the Yukon.

And that brings us to the “Progressive Conservatives.”

Of course, some true conservatives became upset at lacking any good voting alternative. This, they say, was behind the rise of the “Reform” party in the late 1980s—eventually to second-party status.

But as soon as Reform had established itself as the main opposition to the Liberals, what did it do? It decided it needed to broaden its base. It renamed itself the “Canadian Alliance.”

Not a Conservative. Not even close.
Since 2003, the Conservative Party has re-emerged as just "The Conservative Party of Canada." And has promptly begun, at long last, winning elections.

So let’s see: the Conservative Party has only officially run as the Conservative Party in eight of Canada’s 45 federal elections to date. When it has, it has usually won the popular vote. When it has run cleverly disguised, it has usually lost.

Moral: Canadians want to vote for a Conservative Party, but their betters have decided this is not a good idea. Their betters will insist that the people must not have their way on this even when it is against their own interests. And Canadians in general are okay with that.

This is not how a grown-up democracy works.

Tuesday, October 08, 2013

Proposed Platform for the Conservative Party of Canada


These proposals are perhaps radical, but I think they are realistically marketable. Unfortunately, politicians tend to bow to popular opinion and, even worse, the consensus in the press, instead of advocating for policies and trying to change opinions. The latter is real leadership. It was what Reagan, Thatcher, and Churchill were so good at. But it is very hard to do: you have to be an exceptional communicator to bypass the press.

National Unity

Move the capital to Montreal. I would propose doing this slowly, piece by piece, to keep the costs down. First up: the GG’s residence and the Houses of Parliament. Government departments can remain in Ottawa for the time being, but any new physical plant, as needed, is in Montreal. The reasoning for this has been given elsewhere: it makes Quebec separation almost unthinkable.

Reform the Senate: make it elected, but have senators elected not by province or region, but by proportional representation from a Canada-wide franchise. Everybody votes for all senators. The Senate becomes the house of national unity. Bypasses bickering about how many senators per province, too.

Promise to appoint only non-political figures as GG and LG. In practice, appoint distinguished actors, for reasons given elsewhere. The GGship, in the hands of a skilled actor, can be a powerful image of nationhood and a force for national unity.

Give preference for immigration to Christians and Jews. This ought to be uncontroversial: we similarly give preference to those who already speak English or French, because they will more readily fit in. In the same way, Christians and Jews will more readily fit in than others, because they share a crucial element of culture with the existing majority. This is not religious discrimination under the Charter, because the guarantee of freedom of religion legally applies to citizens, not foreigners. This would allay some of the fears in Quebec which have generated the Quebec Charter of Values. It would also be justifiable on grounds of human rights, because currently, Jews and Christians face widespread discrimination and physical danger in large parts of the world. In the meantime, shared values really do make for a more unified nation.

End all funding to “multiculturalism.” Canadian government money should only be funding Canadian culture.


The Economy

A no-brainer, and no longer even controversial: seek free trade deals wherever possible.

End all subsidies to corporations. This, David Lewis showed years ago, can be sold as “ending corporate welfare.” It is a waste of money for the government to try to manipulate the free market by subsidizing this or that industry or player. It is also obviously unjust. And it is an open door to graft and corruption. One reason why it is so popular with politicians. End it, and the economy should benefit quickly from the lack of this distortion.

Simplify the income tax code. I’d say “introduce a flat tax,” but nobody really wants a flat tax in the literal sense. The idea is to simplify the tax code as much as is realistically possible to reduce its distortions of the economy and to reduce the huge costs in money and time in conforming to it.

Remove the right to strike for all public employees. The idea of a strike against the public is an ideological mooncalf, nonsensical on any respectable theory of government. This should prevent disruptions to the economy and reduce the costs of government.

Legally limit compensation for public employees to a fixed percentage of the average compensation for Canadians performing the same or a similar job in the private sector. Do the same for public employee pensions. As a matter of course, public servants should make somewhat less than those in the private sector, in return for their relative job security. They now make more--creating an unelected ruling class. Of course, this will also save money, and should boost the economy.


Health Care

This is a growing issue as the population ages; savings are needed. Health is, of course, properly under provincial jurisdiction, but the Federal government has taken a major role with the Canada Health funding mechanism.

First, allow pharmacists to prescribe. This will drastically reduce the need for doctor visits, and so drastically reduce the costs of health care.

Second, permit a small deductible to Canada Health, to discourage frivolous use. Maybe $5 per visit or procedure? Not much more than a city bus ride, after all.

De-fund abortion and contraception. These are obviously, at a minimum, elective procedures, not to mention unrelated to health and a violation of freedom of religion if government funded.

Allow private hospitals or clinics to collect from Canada Health. This simply introduces the element of competition, and is standard throughout Europe. It is disastrous not to allow it, especially now that Canadians may soon no longer be able to go to the US for procedures.


Human Rights

Abolish the hate laws. They are an obvious and automatic violation of freedom of speech.

Abolish all “affirmative action.” As American Chief Justice Roberts put it, “The way to stop discrimination is to stop discriminating.”

End all federal funding for advocacy groups. Government funding for advocacy groups is a violation of equal protection. Save money and end graft at the same time.

Pass common-sense restrictions on abortion: no abortion after the first trimester, say. While I would prefer a stronger ban, I bow here to political realities. But Canada is one of only four countries in the world that have no restrictions at all on abortion. And two of the other three are not good company.

Decriminalize marijuana use; “look into” decriminalizing other drugs. A bow here to the libertarians—a constituency we want to nail down. The “war on drugs” has been about as effective as Prohibition, for all the same reasons. It is time to wake up to this and move on. Doing so should sharply reduce crime and violence, and boost the economy (tourism from the US, for example…not to mention BC agriculture…). I’d rather decriminalize all drug use; but that is probably too radical politically. Decriminalize cannabis for now, and strike a commission to start the national debate.


Foreign Affairs

Don’t abolish the CBC; turn it into an international service. At home, it is an unjustifiable intrusion into the free market; not to mention being totally unnecessary in this era of low-cost media. Beamed abroad, however, it could be a useful experiment in “soft power”: establishing and promoting the Canadian brand, Canadian influence, and the popular desire for Canadian products. No harm in letting Canadians pick it up on cable and satellite as well; but the mission statement needs to change.

Key foreign aid strictly to human rights. Canada is in an enviable position; it can afford to really do this. Big powers cannot; they have too many geopolitical interests to protect. By doing this consistently, we again boost the Canadian brand and soft power throughout the world.

Be nice to the Americans. It is puerile to cause them any unnecessary grief—and it looks like that to the rest of the world. Aside from anything else, being a good neighbor is just good manners.