| It Seemed Like a Good Idea at the Time |
Is Canada finished? I see this claim frequently now online. I want to be optimistic, but I fear that may be right.
We cannot be complacent. Nations can go backwards. Bad government can wreck a nation. In 1979, Iran might have had limited freedoms, but it seemed to be on a path to more, and was on a par economically with Spain. It has become poorer and less free. Venezuela under Chavez managed to descend into poverty to the point of starvation despite sitting on an ocean of oil. Once-prosperous Rhodesia fell apart as Zimbabwe under Mugabe. South Africa is falling apart now, from the First World to the Third. Until the 1930s, Argentina was one of the world’s top ten economies. Cuba was prosperous before 1960.
It can happen; it does happen. It can happen to Canada. I think it is happening.
Canada has since 2015 had a disastrously bad government. And there is no sign of it ending soon. Carney is about to gain a majority in parliament, through defections and byelections, allowing him to do as he wishes for the next four years. Worse, even were a vote held today, polls show he would win a majority government. Canada’s last chance may have been the election of Spring 2025—and we blew it.
Democracy is supposed to be the check against bad government. But it does not always work, and is not working here. Hitler was democratically elected in Germany. Chavez was democratically elected in Venezuela. Peron was the people’s choice in Argentina. The average voter is not that smart; their prejudices can be appealed to. They can be gulled. And then they wake up only when it is too late, and future elections have been cancelled.
Carney’s policies continue Trudeau’s policies, and they are disastrous. Canada’s prosperity depends on trade with the US. Carney has not made a trade deal with the US. It seems that he does not want to. His policy seems to be to deliberately antagonize the US: “elbows up.” Castro’s policy. One is reminded of Johnson’s adage that patriotism is the last refuge of the scoundrel.
His government, with its hostility to oil and gas, has hobbled Canada’s chief potential source of wealth. This has of course alienated Alberta and Saskatchewan, where this industry dominates. And now it seems increasingly likely that Alberta will vote to separate from Canada. If it does, Canada will have lost its cash cow, and its bargaining power in making any future trade deals. The rest of Canada will be further impoverished. Other provinces may be driven to separate.
The various Canadian governments’ and courts’ growing concept of “aboriginal rights” is also on a trajectory to destroy the economy, by throwing property rights into doubt, by preventing resource development without big payoffs to this vested interest, and by shovelling increasing amounts of money into an unproductive black hole. It is like a vampire on the national neck.
The growth of government bureaucracy in general since Trudeau took power is unsustainable. A large government is parasitical on the economy. Ibn Khaldun analyzed this clearly back in the 14th century. This is how nations and civilizations always fall.
Based purely on the value of Canada’s resources alone, every Canadian is worth about one million dollars. It is a measure of how bad and parasitic our government is that we are instead worth a fraction of that individually and facing a declining standard of living.
The Canadian Liberal governments have also pursued the suicidal twin policies of multiculturalism and mass immigration more energetically than the governments of Europe. Europe is now waking up to the fact that this was a mistake, for the sake of civil order, cultural identity, quality of life, and even economically. French or British commentators are saying it may be too late now to save themselves. If so, Canada is further down that road to doom.
The gurus of the technical world are predicting that most jobs will be obsolete within a few years. If they are right, aside from the problems of strained housing supply and medical services and the like, and aside from the disintegration of social cohesion, aside from the rising rates of crime and deterioration of quality of life as Canada goes from a high-trust to a low-trust society, aside from the harm done to a distinct Canadian culture, each new immigrant must soon become a ward of the state, a net cost to everyone already here.
At the same time that it has been doing its best to destroy the economy, the Canadian governments have been growing more authoritarian, less respectful of human rights and the citizenry. The most disturbing example is the invocation of the Emergency Act against the Freedom Convoy, freezing the assets of citizens who expressed opposition to the government. This was done in violation of the Canadian Constitution, the relevant legislation, and the Charter of Rights and Freedoms. But here’s the clincher—there is no mechanism to punish those in charge. Canadian governments are simply on their honour in this regard. And they lack honour. We have now the established precedent that Canadian governments can do this whenever they like.
The Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms is a dead letter in any case. It is supposed to guarantee freedom of expression, for example. Yet this is ignored by the legislatures and the courts, to the extend that it has even become the conventional wisdom that Canada does not, like the US, have a constitutional guarantee of freedom of speech. We do; it is just that, like the old constitution of the Soviet Union, or that of Communist China, the Canadian charter exists only for show.
The government had introduced bill after bill imposing censorship, most recently Bill C-9, which makes citizens subject to two years in prison even for quoting in good faith a passage from the Bible to which the government objects. The media is effectively owned by the government, either formally or through massive subsidy, ensuring there is no free discussion of issues or ideas. Domestic news is otherwise effectively blocked online for those lacking a VPN—as it is in China, or in Saudi Arabia.
Never might the lack of freedom of speech; or freedom of religion; or freedom of association; or freedom of assembly; all of which are now effectively gone in Canada. The right to life, the most fundamental right, is also denied: through government-funded unrestricted abortion on demand, and through a slippery slope to encouraging and assisting suicide for the depressed, disabled, ill, or poor. This is, literally, how Hitler started; it ended in the Holocaust.
The Canadian courts, like the legislatures, ignore the Charter of Rights and instead impose their will. They systematically discriminate on the basis of race, sex, and ethnicity. This assertion is not based only on statistical evidence: they make this open and explicit in their “Gladue rules.” The government discriminates in every conceivable way, in favour of preferred groups and against the fundamental principle of human equality and equal protection under the law. There is special funding or special hiring rules for black groups, for aboriginal groups, for women, for recent immigrants, for gays, and so forth.
On top of this, and on top of alienating the US, Canadian foreign policy seems to have become a disaster. Once on good terms with almost everybody, recent Canadian governments have picked unnecessary fights. Communist China seems to have infiltrated the Canadian government. Their success is indicated by the fact that the Carney government is doing whatever it can to block investigation of the matter. They are owned. And government policies now seem to favour China’s interests over the interests of Canadians.
At this point, I think our only hope may be invasion from the US. Perhaps once Trump is done with Iran and Cuba, Canada will be next on his list.
It would be better than the alternative we seem to face.
