An Opening for the NDP

 

According to the latest Nanos poll, the Liberals are now tied with the NDP, and 19 points behind the Conservatives. It is not that the NDP vote has risen; but the Liberal vote has collapsed. Nevertheless, this means that, were an election held today, the Dippers would stand to almost double their seat total. More jobs for their pols.

Surely this is a huge incentive for Jagmeet Singh to break his informal coalition with the Liberals. It will be highly suspicious if he does not. And, given their unpopularity, being closely associated with the Liberals when the next election comes can only hurt his brand. 

Even if the NDP does pull the plug, this does not make a spring election certain. The BQ has enough seats to keep Trudeau in power, and their own prospects are only of holding steady on seat numbers.  

This, on the other hand, gives Singh a golden opportunity to pass the buck to them.