Will the Emergency Act Actually Pass?

 

I assumed that Justin Trudeau had solid assurance of support before he announced the Emergency Act. But the blowback seems to have gotten severe. Premiers are speaking against it. Foreign media are mocking him. Blanchet was breathing fire today in the Commons. It will not play well in Quebec.

Jagmeet Singh seems to have gotten cold feet, and now says he “may” drop his support. My own MP, Liberal, responded to my concern by saying he was examining the arguments to see if it is justified—surely implying he might vote against it.

In the meantime, the objective justification for it gets weaker. The border blockade at Windsor is over. The border blockade at Coutts is over. I hear the blockade at Denison is over. I hear the blockade at Surrey is over. What exactly is the emergency?

Yet Trudeau still sounded determined in Question Period today. 

The further he pushes this, the worse it may look for him.

If he withdraws it now without a vote, having been so insistent that it was needed, it looks as though he overreacted. But even worse if he puts it to the vote, and loses. Either way, he looks foolish, reckless, and panicked.

We shall see. We may see Generalissimo Trudeau in a few days, Or we may be looking at the end of his premiership.