Trump's Trump Card

Scott Adams makes a good point about Trump’s State of the Union speech: he is going after the black vote, and he stands a good chance of peeling them away from the Democrats.

The left-wing coalition is fantastically vulnerable, as noted here previously, because it includes groups with heterodox interests.

So the Democrats are at risk of dissolving into internal conflict. In the meantime, right-wing politicians have an opportunity to poach dissatisfied elements of the “New Deal” coalition.

The white working class was the easiest; the left has been openly contemptuous of them since the 1960s. Trump was able to pull them away last time, and Boris Johnson pulled them away from Labout in the last UK election.

But blacks look like the next-most-vulnerable “sectionality.” They are, after all, disproportionately more likely to be working class than whites, and so share the same concerns about immigrants taking their jobs. They are also disproportionately more religious than whites, and so more likely to be alienated by the left’s current assault on religion, its promotion of gay lifestyles, and its all-out support of abortion. And some blacks are beginning to notice that a disproportionate number of aborted babies are boack, and suspecting some racism is involved.

So Trump may well have success in pulling a good many blacks over to his side. Perhaps, as blacks in the past have tended to be a bloc vote, we could see an avalanche, and a Democratic disaster.

Next, Trump should make a play for women.