Snap Election Rumours

 

A brace of recent polls show Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives opening up a seven point lead over the Liberals. It seem insane that it takes so long for Canadians to turn emphatically against this corrupt, incompetent, and totalitarian government. But it is at least at last perhaps happening.

At the same time, Michelle Rempel Garnier reports a rumour that the Liberals may want to call a snap election.

The rumour is likely to be false. But if it is true—why would Trudeau call an election when he is trailing in the polls?

Suppose insiders have a clear expectation of recession hitting soon. If Trudeau waits, he will be blamed for it, and the Liberal Party will lose much worse by 2025. 

If he pulls the trigger now, he may make up the ground in a campaign, and get himself cemented into power for another few years—possibly long enough to weather the storm. If, on the other hand, he loses to a Conservative minority—they are liable to get blamed by the general public for the recession when it hits, and the Liberals should have a good shot at getting back into power soon enough.

If Trudeau does indeed call a snap election this summer or fall, it will be a sign of bad economic times to come.