The Razor's Edge

At this writing, it looks likely that Biden will now win the presidency in the official count.

On the other hand, there seems to be substantial evidence that this is due to fraud. Americans are inclined to cry foul whenever their team loses; but this time it looks real. Reports of large tranches of ballots, all for Biden, being wheeled into the Detroit voting centre in the middle of the night. Reports of postmarks being falsified to allow extra ballots to be counted. Scrutineers being barred from the count. Reports of jurisdictions in Michigan and in Wisconsin reporting more votes cast than eligible voters. Reports of votes from dead people.

The new rules for mail-in voting, even if arguably justified by the pandemic, seemed all along designed to allow for fraud. Biden has actually publicly declared having pulled together the greatest voter fraud operation in American history—no doubt a senior moment, but more likely an inadvertent truth than a purely random mistake. Seeing Trump win in the vote count on election night, then a pause in the counting, and the tallies all suddenly reversing the next day, is exactly what we see in rigged votes. We have, further, seen time and again that the left will break all the rules, norms, and conventions in order to get what they want. Why would they stop short here?

Trump is going to court. If the matter reaches the Supreme Court, he has the advantage. You cannot expect the Supreme Court to support him if he has the clearly weaker case; regardless of ideology, they do not want to delegitimize themselves. But if he has a decent case, they will surely listen sympathetically.

On this basis, Trump may yet win. I suspect he legitimately won Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

Either way, it all seems likely to make America ungovernable for the next four years. Whether Biden or Trump prevails, half the country is going to consider it illegitimate.